date: 2024-10-21
title: "abstract"
status: UNFINISHED
author:
  - AllenYGY
tags:
  - OUTLINE 
publish: True

abstract

What we want to do

Construct a casual graphical model to predict movie box office

Suppose Variables Independent

Budget: The amount spent on the production of the movie directly impacts the quality of production, marketing, and distribution.
Genres: Different genres attract different audiences and can affect box office performance depending on trends and audience preferences.
Cast: The actors in a movie can draw in audiences, especially if the cast includes popular or well-known stars.
Release Date: Timing plays a critical role, as certain periods (e.g., summer, holidays) typically see higher ticket sales.

A B 存在因果性，但不存在相关性

Simpson's Paradox

Multi-linear Regression

Time-Series Analysis

Hybrid model Analysis

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Tsai, C. F., & Hung, C. S. (2014). Modeling credit scoring using neural network ensembles. Neural Computing and Applications, 24(2), 445–452. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-012-1247-4
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